Stock Screen Results

by admin on September 8, 2010

3/15/2011  I’m out of all positions.  Just when it looked like the markets had absorbed the Middle East problems, Japan has an earthquake, then a tsunami, then a nuclear catastrophy.  Three black swans in a week was too much and I hit stops on all 3 ETF’s.  Out of all this will come opportunity, so I’ll sit patiently on the sidelines for a change in direction.

3/5/2011  Unless Monday brings a big correction, I’ll be buying EWM (Malaysia), EWC (Canada), RSX (Russia).  Libya isn’t resolved, but the markets  have digested the impact.   I’ll hold these until their risk/reward ranking falls below 70.

2/28/2010  Still holding in cash.

2/22/2011  I’m continuing to hold the account in cash due to ongoing Geopolitical Risk.  The situation in Libya needs to be resolved before I’ll get comfortable investing in foreign markets.

2/11/2011 I’m going to insert my judgement here and hold off buying on Monday.  The screen produced only 2 qualifiers PDN and EWC, and these were weak qualifiers.  It was nice to be in cash for 2 weeks while Egypt played out.  This week could see some volitility as Egypt comes back into the game.  I’ll see what Monday brings and may not wait a full 2 weeks before executing the next buy.  Because the top three change positions so often, I’m thinking about changing my criteria to reduce trading.  I’m thinking of holding them as long as they maintain a rank of at least 70.

1/29/2011  I’m down to $62,903.32.   That’s a 3.7% drop from where I started.  There are no qualifying ETF’s for this 2 week period so I will sell Monday and sit in cash.  Markets around the world are reacting to the Egypt demonstrations and the past month has not been a great time to be in the emerging markets space.  My screen rules require a 70% risk/reward ranking and none of them made the cut.

1/14/2011  EWM (Malasia), EWH (Hong Kong), and FRN (Frontier) are the current picks.  The account now has $42,660.57, down 1.55% since I started.  All emerging markets have been down or sideways lately.  I’m not concerned since 1.55% is about one day’s movement in these volatile markets.  I just added $22,000 to this account, so my new base will be $65,331.  I plan to invest all in this strategy of 3 ETF’s every two weeks

12/20/2010 ECH (Chile), EWT (Taiwan), and EZA (South Africa) are the current picks.  I had a gain on the ECH, but both the THD and the IDX were down for the two-week period and were sold.  The account now has $42,393, down from $43,331 down 2.2%.

12/06/2010  ECH, THD, and IDX are the current qualifiers.  To make life easier, I have started a separate account (tax deferred) to house the 3 ETF’s I will trade every two weeks.  Beginning value is $43331.00.  Let’s see where this takes us.

I am switching to a 3 stock model at the next trade.  Back testing has shown better results with 3 ETF’s.  The top 3 are ECH, GXG, and IDX as of 10/29/2010 close.  The ECH is a hold from last 2 week period.  Cum gain so far since 8/23/2010 is 11.5%, up .3% for the past 2 weeks.

11/1/2010 Sold GXG to buy ECH.  Gain is now $1121.14, 11.2%.  Current holding is 145 shares of ECH.

10/18/2010 Sold ECH to buy GXG.  Gain so far is $1033.41, 10.3% since 8/23/2010/.

10/4/2010  Sold the IDX and bought 150 shares of ECH (Chile).  Account value is now $11,118.69, a gain of $1,101.81 or 11.0%.

9/20/2010 Bought IDX

9/17/2010 – Sold the GXG.  Price dropped below the 13 day moving average.  Will be buying the next pick on Monday.  Account is now at $10,613.05, a gain of 6.1% since 8/23/2010.

9/10/2010 – Still holding the original position in GXG.  Account value is now $10,837.50.  GXG closed at $42.50.

I have set up an account with $10,000 to invest in a single stock resulting from a screen of equity ETF’s outside the USA.  On 8/23/2010 I bought 255 shares of GXG @ $39.25.   I will run the screen weekly on Saturday and buy/sell on Monday.  I will own only one ETF at a time – the top ranked one.  As I write this on 9/8/2010 the position is worth $10,900 with no changes made.  I will report all my buy and sell signals and the account value.  The backtesting looks good, but there is nothing like real money to test your discipline.

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